Real Valladolid IIvs
Albacete II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Valladolid II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Valladolid II 6-1 Albacete II
Original prediction
Real Valladolid II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.5% | 38.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 30.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.7% | 30.9% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Real Valladolid II
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Real Valladolid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50