GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Unión · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Unión are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Sabadell are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Unión hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Real Unión holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Unión

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Real Unión has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real UniónWWWL

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
SabadellWWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Real UniónSabadell
40.4Attack33.3
53.5Defence50.0
37.7Form36.8
45.6Power42.5
1.30xG0.84
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