Real Uniónvs
Mirandes
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Unión 2-2 Mirandes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.3% | 34.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.8% | 29.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.9% | 35.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.15 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60