Real Tomayapovs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/17/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oriente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Tomayapo 0-2 Oriente Petrolero
Original prediction
Oriente Petrolero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.9% | 18.3% | -19.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 19.3% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.8% | 62.4% | 26.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
26.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Oriente Petrolero
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Oriente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40