GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 9/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Real Tomayapo 1-1 Nacional Potosí

Original prediction

Nacional Potosí

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.6%27.7%-12.0 pts
Draw3.5125.8%22.7%-3.1 pts
Away2.6134.6%49.7%15.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

15.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–29%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.1–38%

Predicted outcome

Nacional Potosí

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real TomayapoWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional PotosíWLDLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
60.0Attack100.0
26.7Defence73.3
60.0Form66.7
49.7Power72.9
1.36xG2.47
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