GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jorge Wilstermann · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Real Tomayapo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jorge Wilstermann are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Jorge Wilstermann hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Jorge Wilstermann holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jorge Wilstermann

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Jorge Wilstermann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real TomayapoLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jorge WilstermannLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Real TomayapoJorge Wilstermann
14.3Attack0.0
47.6Defence100.0
9.5Form33.3
27.6Power45.3
0.78xG1.22
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