GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/5/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Tomayapo are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Internacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real TomayapoLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
InternacionalWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real TomayapoInternacional
14.3Attack29.2
47.6Defence79.2
9.5Form50.0
27.6Power55.1
0.51xG0.96
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