Real Tomayapovs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gualberto Villarroel SJ · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Tomayapo 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Original prediction
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.0% | 35.0% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 25.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.0% | 40.0% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00