Real Tomayapovs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (14%), 0-2 (13%), 0-4 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Tomayapo 1-2 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.9% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.1% | 15.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 58.4% | 72.5% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–314%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.0–412%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80