GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/25/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Cordoba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Tomayapo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Belgrano Cordoba are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Cordoba hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (27.6 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Belgrano Cordoba holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Cordoba

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Belgrano Cordoba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real TomayapoDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano CordobaDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real TomayapoBelgrano Cordoba
14.3Attack33.3
47.6Defence70.8
9.5Form50.0
27.6Power53.7
0.58xG1.05
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