GGOALVIO

Moldova · Liga 1 · 9/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gagauziya-Oguzsport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Real Succes are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Gagauziya-Oguzsport are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gagauziya-Oguzsport hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (22.0 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.1% in the Liga 1, while Gagauziya-Oguzsport holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Probability

87.1%

Model confidence

87.1%

Gagauziya-Oguzsport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SuccesDLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Gagauziya-OguzsportWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.67/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Real SuccesGagauziya-Oguzsport
37.9Attack73.3
7.6Defence60.0
12.1Form73.3
22.0Power70.2
0.89xG4.40
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