Real Sociedad Wvs
Hearts W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad W 4-0 Hearts W
Original prediction
Real Sociedad W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 88.1% | 50.4% | -37.8 pts |
| Draw | 10.57 | 8.7% | 23.8% | 15.1 pts |
| Away | 29.30 | 3.1% | 25.8% | 22.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad W
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Real Sociedad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00