Real Sociedad Wvs
Granad. Tenerife W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad W 1-1 Granad. Tenerife W
Original prediction
Real Sociedad W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.2% | 42.9% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.5% | 30.5% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad W
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Real Sociedad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00