Real Sociedad Wvs
Espanyol W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad W 1-1 Espanyol W
Original prediction
Real Sociedad W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.3% | 41.3% | -22.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.1% | 24.3% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 6.14 | 14.7% | 34.4% | 19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad W
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Real Sociedad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40