Real Sociedad Wvs
Chelsea W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League Women · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chelsea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad W 0-1 Chelsea W
Original prediction
Chelsea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.64 | 16.0% | 28.7% | 12.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.5% | 23.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.5% | 47.4% | -17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Chelsea W
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Chelsea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80