Real Sociedad Wvs
Barcelona W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad W 2-1 Barcelona W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14.36 | 6.3% | 13.4% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 8.64 | 10.5% | 17.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.09 | 83.1% | 69.6% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
69.6%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 26 · GA 2 · avg 5.20/0.40