Real Sociedadvs
Rayo Vallecano
SCHEDULEDSpain · La Liga · 11/8/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 01:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real SociedadLWLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rayo VallecanoDWLWL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real SociedadRayo Vallecano
42.9Attack52.4
38.1Defence23.8
47.6Form38.1
45.9Power41.1
1.97xG1.59