Real Sociedadvs
PAOK
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Sociedad are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PAOK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60