GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SociedadLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Manchester UnitedWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real SociedadManchester United
61.1Attack77.8
52.8Defence57.8
55.6Form71.1
57.0Power69.9
1.60xG2.10
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