Real Sociedadvs
Manchester United
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Sociedad are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Manchester United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40