Real Sociedadvs
Lyon
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/5/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real SociedadDLLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LyonLWDWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real SociedadLyon
61.1Attack80.6
52.8Defence55.6
55.6Form61.1
57.0Power65.3
1.72xG2.13