Real Sociedadvs
Levante
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/25/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante
Original prediction
Real Sociedad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 59.9% | 51.0% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 21.1% | 22.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.00 | 19.0% | 26.9% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40