GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/20/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SociedadLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real SociedadFC Midtjylland
61.1Attack0.0
52.8Defence50.0
55.6Form0.0
57.0Power21.5
2.15xG1.03
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