Real Sociedadvs
FC Midtjylland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/20/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Sociedad are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00