Real Sociedadvs
Espanyol
SCHEDULEDSpain · La Liga · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Real Sociedad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Espanyol are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the La Liga, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
17.5%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80