GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Dynamo Kyiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SociedadWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Dynamo KyivWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real SociedadDynamo Kyiv
61.1Attack16.7
52.8Defence58.3
55.6Form16.7
57.0Power33.8
1.95xG0.96
View match centre →