GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Anderlecht are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Sociedad

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SociedadWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AnderlechtDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real SociedadAnderlecht
61.1Attack66.7
52.8Defence66.7
55.6Form83.3
57.0Power75.3
1.58xG1.53
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