Real Sociedadvs
Anderlecht
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Sociedad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Anderlecht are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20