Real Sociedadvs
Ajax
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Real Sociedad are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ajax are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (57.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Sociedad holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Real Sociedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80