Real Sociedad IIvs
Tenerife
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Sociedad II 0-0 Tenerife, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad II 1-1 Tenerife
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 37.0% | 37.1% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.9% | 31.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 33.1% | 31.7% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.12 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Real Sociedad II 0–0 Tenerife
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real Sociedad IIDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TenerifeLWWDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real Sociedad IITenerife
66.7Attack30.2
33.3Defence67.5
33.3Form44.4
45.3Power49.5
0.99xG0.81