GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 8/27/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Tarazona are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad II hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Sociedad IIWDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
TarazonaD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Real Sociedad IITarazona
37.7Attack25.4
64.0Defence70.2
44.7Form38.6
51.2Power46.8
0.73xG0.49
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