Real Sociedad IIvs
Mallorca
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad II 0-1 Mallorca
Original prediction
Mallorca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.81 | 24.3% | 30.6% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 27.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 49.0% | 41.6% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Mallorca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40