Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 1 August 202618:30Updated today
Real Sociedad II

Real Sociedad II

Home
DW
vs
18:30
Huesca

Huesca

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Huesca33%
Real Sociedad II33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Real Sociedad II
33%
Draw
33%
Huesca
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Real Sociedad II
73
Huesca
34
Defence
Real Sociedad II
46
Huesca
27
Momentum
Real Sociedad II
67
Huesca
0
Danger (xG)
Real Sociedad II
1.80
Huesca
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.57 xG for Real Sociedad II and 1.09 xG for Huesca — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.48), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.65 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Real Sociedad II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Huesca)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Real Sociedad II)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Huesca)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
DW
HuescaHuesca
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Real Sociedad II33%
Draw33%
Huesca33%

Huesca leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Real Sociedad II vs Huesca: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Real Sociedad II host Huesca in Friendlies Clubs. Real Sociedad II have recorded WDLDLW in recent matches while Huesca arrive with a run of LLDLDW.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.57 for Real Sociedad II and 1.09 for Huesca. The gap of 0.48 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Real Sociedad II 1Draws 00 Huesca
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
11 May 2026
Real Sociedad II
W21
Huesca

Recent form

Real Sociedad II

Real Sociedad II

D
vs Mirandes
16 May 2026
22
W
@ Huesca
11 May 2026
21
Huesca

Huesca

L
vs Real Sociedad II
11 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Huesca?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Huesca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad II vs Huesca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Sociedad II vs Huesca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more