Real Sociedad IIvs
Granada CF
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Sociedad II 2-3 Granada CF
Original prediction
Real Sociedad II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.6% | 37.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.8% | 28.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.6% | 33.2% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Real Sociedad II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20