GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Popayan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Santander are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Popayan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Popayan hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Primera B, while Popayan holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Popayan

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

18.8%

Popayan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SantanderLLDWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PopayanLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real SantanderPopayan
25.9Attack31.5
40.7Defence57.4
16.7Form31.5
31.0Power42.7
0.69xG1.06
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