Real Santandervs
Orsomarso
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Santander 0-0 Orsomarso, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Santander 0-0 Orsomarso
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.1% | 31.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 33.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.0% | 35.9% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Real Santander 0–0 Orsomarso
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real SantanderLDWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OrsomarsoLLLWD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Real SantanderOrsomarso
29.0Attack25.8
46.4Defence65.2
24.6Form37.9
36.1Power45.0
0.63xG0.78