Real Santandervs
Leones FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Santander · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Santander 0-0 Leones FC, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Santander 1-0 Leones FC
Original prediction
Real Santander
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.6% | 43.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 30.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.6% | 25.7% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Real Santander 0–0 Leones FC
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Real Santander
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Real Santander has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20