Real Santandervs
Alianza Petrolera
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 2/23/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Petrolera · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Real Santander are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Alianza Petrolera are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Petrolera hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Copa Colombia, while Alianza Petrolera holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Petrolera
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Alianza Petrolera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75