GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/23/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alianza Petrolera · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Real Santander are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Alianza Petrolera are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Petrolera hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (9.3 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Copa Colombia, while Alianza Petrolera holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alianza Petrolera

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Alianza Petrolera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SantanderLLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Alianza PetroleraDWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Real SantanderAlianza Petrolera
8.3Attack50.0
0.0Defence75.0
0.0Form58.3
9.3Power61.6
0.78xG1.72
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