GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real San Joaquín · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real San Joaquín are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santiago Morning are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real San Joaquín hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real San Joaquín

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

18.1%

Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real San JoaquínLLDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago MorningLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real San JoaquínSantiago Morning
44.4Attack25.0
52.8Defence61.1
36.1Form27.8
44.8Power40.4
1.13xG0.66
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