Real San Joaquínvs
Santiago Morning
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real San Joaquín · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real San Joaquín are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santiago Morning are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real San Joaquín hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real San Joaquín
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
18.1%
Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20