GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real San Joaquín · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Real San Joaquín are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real San Joaquín hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real San Joaquín

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

12.7%

Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real San JoaquínWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Provincial OvalleLLWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
46.2Attack30.6
51.3Defence33.3
35.9Form16.7
44.9Power29.8
2.07xG0.78
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