GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real San Joaquín are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Municipal Salamanca are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

21.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real San JoaquínWWLLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal SalamancaDDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Real San JoaquínMunicipal Salamanca
46.2Attack30.6
51.3Defence86.1
35.9Form61.1
44.9Power62.3
0.73xG0.86
View match centre →