Real San Joaquínvs
Lota Schwager
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real San Joaquín 0-0 Lota Schwager, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real San Joaquín 0-2 Lota Schwager
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.8% | 34.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.1% | 30.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.2% | 34.7% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Real San Joaquín 0–0 Lota Schwager
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real San JoaquínLDLDD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Lota SchwagerLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real San JoaquínLota Schwager
43.1Attack31.4
47.1Defence64.7
31.4Form35.3
41.5Power46.0
0.97xG0.92