Real San Joaquínvs
Deportes Rengo
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real San Joaquín · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real San Joaquín 0-0 Deportes Rengo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real San Joaquín 2-5 Deportes Rengo
Original prediction
Real San Joaquín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.3% | 46.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.2% | 25.6% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Real San Joaquín 0–0 Deportes Rengo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Real San Joaquín
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80