Real Salt Lakevs
St. Louis City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/25/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis City
Original prediction
St. Louis City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 46.3% | 35.4% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.4% | 27.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 29.3% | 37.2% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00