GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/1/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeLDDWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Seattle SoundersWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Real Salt LakeSeattle Sounders
55.6Attack39.2
51.9Defence56.9
51.9Form47.1
54.6Power49.6
1.58xG1.03
View match centre →