GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

8.8%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
56.9Attack61.1
51.0Defence38.9
52.9Form44.4
55.1Power48.4
2.30xG1.62
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