Real Salt Lakevs
Portland Timbers
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 8:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Real Salt Lake are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
8.8%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60