Real Salt Lakevs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/13/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
Original prediction
Real Salt Lake
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 47.5% | 39.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.4% | 28.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 27.1% | 33.0% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20