Real Salt Lakevs
Los Angeles FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/6/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FC
Original prediction
Los Angeles FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.9% | 29.5% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.7% | 24.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 38.4% | 46.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles FC
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80