GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Inter Miami are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 63.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeWWDWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Inter MiamiWDDWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real Salt LakeInter Miami
55.6Attack80.7
51.9Defence36.8
51.9Form66.7
54.6Power63.1
2.21xG2.21
View match centre →