Real Salt Lakevs
Houston Dynamo
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Salt Lake are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60