GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Houston DynamoWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
55.6Attack49.1
51.9Defence57.9
51.9Form61.4
54.6Power57.6
1.50xG1.32
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