GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.1 against 55.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

11.1%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC DallasWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real Salt LakeFC Dallas
56.9Attack59.3
51.0Defence53.7
52.9Form50.0
55.1Power55.6
1.71xG1.60
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