GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AustinLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real Salt LakeAustin
55.6Attack40.7
51.9Defence33.3
51.9Form31.5
54.6Power37.2
2.53xG1.03
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