Real Salt Lakevs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/15/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Real Salt Lake are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80