Real Refinerosvs
Halcones Negros
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga Premier Serie A · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halcones Negros · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Refineros 2-3 Halcones Negros
Original prediction
Halcones Negros
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Halcones Negros
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Halcones Negros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Real RefinerosLDDDW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Halcones NegrosWWLWL
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Real RefinerosHalcones Negros
44.4Attack94.4
44.4Defence77.8
33.3Form55.6
43.7Power69.1
0.98xG2.09